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Ipitanga vs Galicia

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ipitanga play Galicia in the Baiano 2 2012. Galicia are favorites here. Recently, Ipitanga averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Galicia averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Ipitanga won 0, Galicia won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 8, 2013 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Ipitanga and 1.74 for Galicia. This points to a Galicia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ipitanga
6%
Draws
90%
Galicia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Galicia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ipitanga.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Galicia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Baiano 2 2012 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 12%
Galicia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipitanga Galicia
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 3 19
Draws 3 13
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0 2.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2013 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs Galicia
0:3
May 4, 2013 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Ipitanga
1:0
Jun 10, 2012 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Ipitanga
3:0
May 12, 2012 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs Galicia
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipitanga 10 / 100
Galicia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipitanga Galicia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipitanga scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Galicia let in goals in 55% of their last 44 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Ipitanga went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Galicia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Galicia
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Ypiranga861119:719
2Botafogo BA843115:715
3Galicia834115:913
4Ipitanga811610:244
5Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas80354:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo862011:420
2Jacuipense843110:515
3AD Astro83327:412
4Jequie82247:148
5Guanambi AC80080:80