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Ipitanga vs Leonico

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2014 game between Ipitanga and Leonico finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ipitanga
15%
Draws
85%
Leonico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Leonico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Leonico a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 20%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipitanga Leonico
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.8 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2014 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs Leonico
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipitanga 10 / 100
Leonico 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipitanga Leonico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonico has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Leonico's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ipitanga scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leonico
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipitanga

(Home)
10 May
Itabuna
3 : 0
Ipitanga
07 May
Ipitanga
0 : 5
Colo Colo
04 May
CE Flamengo
6 : 0
Ipitanga
27 Apr
Jequie
3 : 0
Ipitanga
13 Apr
EC Ypiranga
6 : 0
Ipitanga
Page 1 of 6

Leonico

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 9 7 2 0 19:1 23
2 Jacobina 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
3 CE Flamengo 9 6 2 1 22:12 20
4 Alagoinhas 9 5 1 3 18:12 16
5 Itabuna 9 4 0 5 13:11 12
6 Fluminense de Feira 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 EC Ypiranga 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
8 Jequie 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Leonico 9 0 1 8 7:22 1
10 Ipitanga 9 0 1 8 4:35 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2014 (Play Offs)