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Ipswich vs Broadbeach Utd.

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Briggs Rd Sporting Complex
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ipswich play Broadbeach Utd. in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ipswich averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Broadbeach Utd. averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Ipswich won 2, Broadbeach Utd. won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Ipswich and 2.13 for Broadbeach Utd.. This points to a Broadbeach Utd. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ipswich
35%
Draws
37%
Broadbeach Utd.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Broadbeach Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Ipswich picked up more points recently compared to Broadbeach Utd..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Broadbeach Utd.
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.34 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Broadbeach Utd.
2:2
Jun 8, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Broadbeach Utd.
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Ipswich
2:0
Aug 10, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs Ipswich
1:2
May 11, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Broadbeach Utd.
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilfrid P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veal N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Broadbeach Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer De Vita P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fogarty D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 27 / 100
Broadbeach Utd. 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Broadbeach Utd.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Broadbeach Utd. or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ipswich attacking → ← attacking Broadbeach Utd.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Broadbeach Utd. let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ipswich went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Broadbeach Utd. lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 66
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507