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Ipswich vs Caboolture

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Briggs Rd Sporting Complex
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AI Match Summary

Ipswich play Caboolture in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ipswich averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Caboolture averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Ipswich won 3, Caboolture won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Ipswich and 2.00 for Caboolture. This points to a Ipswich double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ipswich
28%
Draws
50%
Caboolture
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Caboolture

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Caboolture has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ipswich.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Caboolture.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Queensland Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Caboolture
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Ipswich
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Caboolture
3:1
Jun 14, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Caboolture
0:1
May 10, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Ipswich
1:3
Aug 18, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Caboolture
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Irons S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buckman L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer McLeod A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 22 / 100
Caboolture 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Caboolture

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Caboolture let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ipswich went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Caboolture lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Caboolture
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507