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Ipswich vs Leicester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Cup Portman Road, Ipswich
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Aluko O.
49'
Humphreys C.
54'
Clarke J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ipswich
30%
Draws
47%
Leicester
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leicester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ipswich have won more games recently than Leicester.
  • Win probability leans Leicester's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Ipswich have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ipswich, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%
Leicester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Leicester
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 EFL Cup
Ipswich vs Leicester
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 Championship
Ipswich vs Leicester
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Leicester vs Ipswich
3:1
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Leicester vs Ipswich
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League
Ipswich vs Leicester
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Egeli S. W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Leicester Compare

Top Goalscorer Aluko O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 18 / 100
Leicester 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Leicester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leicester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Leicester let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ipswich remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Leicester
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
31 Oct
Hull City
2 : 2
Ipswich
23 Oct
Ipswich
1 : 1
Nottingham
17 Oct
Manchester City
3 : 2
Ipswich
10 Oct
Ipswich
2 : 1
Fulham
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

Leicester

(Away)
31 Oct
Leicester
2 : 2
Stevenage
27 Oct
Leicester
3 : 0
Wigan
24 Oct
Luton
2 : 1
Leicester
20 Oct
Bromley
0 : 4
Leicester
17 Oct
Leicester
2 : 1
Doncaster
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town 2
Arsenal 1
Everton 3
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Brighton 2
Bradford City 2
Peterborough 0
Fulham 0
Crystal Palace 1
Sunderland 3
Brentford 2
Liverpool 2
Chelsea 1
Bournemouth 3
Aston Villa 0
Quarter-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Everton -
Manchester City -
Bradford City -
Crystal Palace -
Sunderland -
Liverpool -
Bournemouth -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -