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Ipswich vs North Star

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Briggs Rd Sporting Complex, Ipswich
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Milini B.
52' Event
Kovacevic D.
62' Event
Deng D.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Ipswich and North Star finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ipswich
20%
Draws
57%
North Star
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ipswich come out ahead of North Star on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 13%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich North Star
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.37 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs North Star
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Ipswich
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacevic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deng D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Milini B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuck K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 31 / 100
North Star 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich North Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Star Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Star let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Ipswich's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ipswich has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS North Star
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

North Star

(Away)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)