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Ipswich vs North Star

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Briggs Rd Sporting Complex
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ipswich host North Star in the Queensland Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. North Star have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Ipswich have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Ipswich have won 1 to North Star's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.31, favoring Ipswich. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ipswich
40%
Draws
29%
North Star
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ipswich come out ahead of North Star on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 18%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich North Star
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Ipswich
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 32 / 100
North Star 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich North Star

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Star let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Ipswich's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: North Star registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS North Star
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518