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Ipswich vs Nottingham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Portman Road, Ipswich
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ipswich host Nottingham in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Nottingham have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Ipswich have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Ipswich have won 0 to Nottingham's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2025, ending 2:4. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.56, favoring Ipswich. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Ipswich
20%
Draws
36%
Nottingham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ipswich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Ipswich carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nottingham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 15%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Nottingham
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Ipswich vs Nottingham
2:4
Mar 3, 2025 FA Cup
Nottingham vs Ipswich
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Nottingham vs Ipswich
1:0
Mar 16, 2019 Championship
Ipswich vs Nottingham
1:1
Dec 1, 2018 Championship
Nottingham vs Ipswich
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 30 / 100
Nottingham 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Nottingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ipswich Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Nottingham has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Ipswich remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Nottingham
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
10 Oct
Ipswich
2 : 1
Fulham
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Sept
Ipswich
2 : 4
Arsenal
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
04 Sept
Ipswich
0 : 2
Liverpool
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham

(Away)
11 Oct
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Nottingham
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1
Coventry
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2
Nottingham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 6 0 0 16:5 18
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
3 Brighton 6 4 1 1 18:5 13
4 Brentford 6 2 4 0 12:6 10
5 Everton 6 2 4 0 8:5 10
6 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 15:13 10
7 Leeds 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Hull City 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
9 Liverpool 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
10 Ipswich 6 3 0 3 9:12 9
11 Newcastle Utd 6 2 2 2 10:13 8
12 Crystal Palace 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 Manchester United 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
14 Coventry 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
15 Nottingham 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Aston Villa 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Sunderland 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
18 Bournemouth 6 0 3 3 7:13 3
19 Tottenham 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
20 Fulham 6 0 2 4 6:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)