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Ipswich vs Rayo Vallecano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Davis L.
17' Event
Davis L.
34' Event
Emersonn

AI Match Summary

Ipswich in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ipswich
20%
Draws
46%
Rayo Vallecano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rayo Vallecano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ipswich have won more games recently than Rayo Vallecano.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 12%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Rayo Vallecano
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Ipswich vs Rayo Vallecano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Davis L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Emersonn
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Rayo Vallecano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 35 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Rayo Vallecano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Vallecano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Rayo Vallecano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ipswich remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Rayo Vallecano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
17 Oct
Manchester City
3 : 2
Ipswich
10 Oct
Ipswich
2 : 1
Fulham
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Sept
Ipswich
2 : 4
Arsenal
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
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Rayo Vallecano

(Away)
19 Oct
Getafe
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
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