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Ipswich vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Briggs Rd Sporting Complex, Ipswich
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
McDougall K.
59' Event
Piper B.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Ipswich and Sunshine Coast Wanderers finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ipswich
20%
Draws
57%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ipswich have managed 1.37 goals a game lately — Sunshine Coast Wanderers are scoring more at 1.8.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sunshine Coast Wanderers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich
1:0
Aug 1, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Ipswich
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Piper B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer McDougall K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 14 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Sunshine Coast Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunshine Coast Wanderers has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ipswich scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Ipswich has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

Sunshine Coast Wanderers

(Away)
05 Sept
Broadbeach Utd.
2 : 0
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1
Broadbeach Utd.
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)