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IR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Iceland Iceland

League Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IR Reykjavik play KA Akureyri in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, IR Reykjavik averaged 1.86 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. KA Akureyri averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, IR Reykjavik won 2, KA Akureyri won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for IR Reykjavik and 2.06 for KA Akureyri. This points to a KA Akureyri double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
IR Reykjavik
15%
Draws
44%
KA Akureyri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KA Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • IR Reykjavik picked up more points recently compared to KA Akureyri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76%
IR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IR Reykjavik KA Akureyri
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 League Cup
IR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
4:3
Apr 25, 2024 Icelandic Cup
KA Akureyri vs IR Reykjavik
2:1
Feb 17, 2018 League Cup
KA Akureyri vs IR Reykjavik
2:1
May 17, 2017 Icelandic Cup
KA Akureyri vs IR Reykjavik
1:3
Jul 21, 2012 Division 1
KA Akureyri vs IR Reykjavik
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurhjartarson E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Magnusson G. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrafnkelsson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saevarsson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IR Reykjavik 39 / 100
KA Akureyri 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IR Reykjavik KA Akureyri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: KA Akureyri or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

IR Reykjavik attacking → ← attacking KA Akureyri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IR Reykjavik scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

KA Akureyri let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

IR Reykjavik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

KA Akureyri lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 36
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Stjarnan541017:613
2Keflavik531113:1010
3Kopavogur531110:1210
4Fram520317:116
5Vestri511310:144
6Aegir50053:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Thor Akureyri431014:310
2Akranes42117:57
3Valur42028:76
4Afturelding42024:106
5Grotta40042:100
6Volsungur00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1KR Reykjavik531116:610
2Vikingur Reykjavik53116:310
3Njardvik52218:98
4IR Reykjavik521211:137
5KA Akureyri51135:74
6Grindavik50235:132
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fylkir540113:512
2Throttur430111:89
3Leiknir Reykjavik52037:136
4Hafnarfjordur51138:64
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar31115:54
6Breidablik41033:103