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IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 ÍR-völlur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Agustsson A.
7' Event
Sigurhjartarson E.
(Penalty)
7'
Kristinsson A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between IR Reykjavik and Leiknir Reykjavik finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IR Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
IR Reykjavik
15%
Draws
34%
Leiknir Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Leiknir Reykjavik have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — IR Reykjavik are scoring more at 1.9.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
IR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 13%
Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IR Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1
IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik
3:2
Jun 26, 2026 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Reykjavik Cup
IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs IR Reykjavik
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 Division 1
IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson G. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Helgason B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Leiknir Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Hlifarsson K. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IR Reykjavik 35 / 100
Leiknir Reykjavik 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IR Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiknir Reykjavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IR Reykjavik's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Leiknir Reykjavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: IR Reykjavik remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IR Reykjavik VS Leiknir Reykjavik
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IR Reykjavik

(Home)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Volsungur
3 : 1
IR Reykjavik
21 Aug
Grotta
1 : 3
IR Reykjavik
17 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 1
Njardvik
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Leiknir Reykjavik

(Away)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0
Njardvik
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Leiknir Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)