Sport Picks
IR Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Morocco
Botola Pro Stade Ibn Batouta, Tangier 
Match Events
34'
34'
Karmoun M.
Assist: Eddaoudi D. E.
37'
37'
Eddaoudi D. E.
46'
46'
Sub
El Bellali E. In: Ahannach S.
Out: El Bellali E.
AI Match Summary
The Botola Pro game between IR Tanger and Moghreb Tetouan finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- IR Tanger haven't matched Moghreb Tetouan's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans IR Tanger's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Botola Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 20%
Moghreb Tetouan Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | IR Tanger | Moghreb Tetouan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.65 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2026 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan
1:1
Apr 14, 2025 Botola Pro
Moghreb Tetouan vs IR Tanger
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan
1:2
Apr 14, 2024 Botola Pro
Moghreb Tetouan vs IR Tanger
1:1
Nov 26, 2023 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
IR Tanger Compare
Top Goalscorer Najari Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.33
Moghreb Tetouan Compare
Top Goalscorer Karmoun M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
IR Tanger 42 / 100
Moghreb Tetouan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
IR Tanger Moghreb Tetouan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
IR Tanger went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
IR Tanger found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Moghreb Tetouan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
IR Tanger VS Moghreb Tetouan
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.29
63% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
IR Tanger
(Home) 02 Oct
IR Tanger
1 : 1 Moghreb Tetouan
24 Sept
Amal Tiznit
1 : 3 IR Tanger
19 Sept
IR Tanger
1 : 0 Widad Temara
13 Sept
IR Tanger
3 : 1 Yacoub El Mansour
14 Aug
FUS Rabat
0 : 0 IR Tanger
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
IR Tanger
1 : 1 Moghreb Tetouan
19 Sept
IR Tanger
1 : 0 Widad Temara
13 Sept
IR Tanger
3 : 1 Yacoub El Mansour
05 Jul
IR Tanger
2 : 1 COD Meknes
28 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 1 Raja Casablanca
Page 1 of 3
Moghreb Tetouan
(Away) 02 Oct
IR Tanger
1 : 1 Moghreb Tetouan
27 Sept
Moghreb Tetouan
0 : 0 Berkane
05 Jul
Moghreb Tetouan
1 : 0 Stade Marocain
27 Jun
RAC Casablanca
0 : 2 Moghreb Tetouan
20 Jun
Moghreb Tetouan
3 : 1 Amal Tiznit
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
IR Tanger
1 : 1 Moghreb Tetouan
27 Jun
RAC Casablanca
0 : 2 Moghreb Tetouan
13 Jun
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 0 Moghreb Tetouan
23 May
KAC Kenitra
2 : 2 Moghreb Tetouan
02 May
Raja Beni Mellal
2 : 0 Moghreb Tetouan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maghreb Fez | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Union Touarga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Hassania Agadir | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Kawkab Marrakech | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | IR Tanger | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Raja Casablanca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 7 | COD Meknes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 8 | FAR Rabat | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Widad Temara | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Wydad Athletic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Moghreb Tetouan | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Difaa El Jadidi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 13 | Amal Tiznit | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Berkane | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 15 | FUS Rabat | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Renaissance Zemamra | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2027/2028 (Main)
