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IR Tanger vs Yacoub El Mansour

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Stade Ibn Batouta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IR Tanger play Yacoub El Mansour in the Botola Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, IR Tanger averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Yacoub El Mansour averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, IR Tanger won 2, Yacoub El Mansour won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for IR Tanger and 1.00 for Yacoub El Mansour. This points to a IR Tanger double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
IR Tanger
23%
Draws
32%
Yacoub El Mansour
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: IR Tanger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • IR Tanger picked up more points recently compared to Yacoub El Mansour.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 23%
Yacoub El Mansour Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IR Tanger Yacoub El Mansour
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs Yacoub El Mansour
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Botola Pro
Yacoub El Mansour vs IR Tanger
1:2
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
IR Tanger vs Yacoub El Mansour
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IR Tanger Compare

Top Goalscorer Rhabra J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Yacoub El Mansour Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IR Tanger 45 / 100
Yacoub El Mansour 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IR Tanger Yacoub El Mansour

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: IR Tanger or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

IR Tanger attacking → ← attacking Yacoub El Mansour

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IR Tanger scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Yacoub El Mansour let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

IR Tanger went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Yacoub El Mansour lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 33
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maghreb Fez301611340:1759
2Berkane30169544:2757
3Raja Casablanca30168639:1956
4FAR Rabat301316145:2255
5Wydad Athletic301341339:3343
6Difaa El Jadidi30913830:3440
7IR Tanger30912927:3139
8FUS Rabat309101131:3637
9Kawkab Marrakech308121027:2636
10COD Meknes30991224:3336
11Renaissance Zemamra30891328:3733
12Hassania Agadir30891327:3933
13Union Touarga306131132:4031
14Yacoub El Mansour30791434:4430
15Dcheira30791429:4030
16Olympique de Safi303131424:4222