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Iraklis FC vs Karditsa

Greece Greece

Super League 2
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AI Match Summary

Iraklis FC play Karditsa in the Super League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iraklis FC averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Karditsa averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Iraklis FC won 4, Karditsa won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Iraklis FC and 0.94 for Karditsa. This points to a Iraklis FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Iraklis FC
21%
Draws
28%
Karditsa
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Iraklis FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Iraklis FC picked up more points recently compared to Karditsa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Iraklis FC Clean Sheet 24%
Karditsa Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis FC Karditsa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Super League 2
Iraklis FC vs Karditsa
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 Super League 2
Karditsa vs Iraklis FC
0:1
Jan 17, 2026 Super League 2
Iraklis FC vs Karditsa
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Super League 2
Karditsa vs Iraklis FC
1:1
Aug 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Karditsa vs Iraklis FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraklis FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Macheras T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Karditsa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis FC 51 / 100
Karditsa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis FC Karditsa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iraklis FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iraklis FC attacking → ← attacking Karditsa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis FC scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Karditsa let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Iraklis FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Karditsa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 44
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iraklis FC18135034:1344
2Niki Volos18116141:1039
3Karditsa18123325:1039
4Asteras Tripolis B1895425:1732
5PAOK B1873825:2324
6Kavala1865716:2223
7Chrisoupolis18531013:2118
8Kampaniakos18431112:3215
9Giannina18241210:2410
10Makedonikos Neapolis1813148:376
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kalamata18162044:1050
2Panionios18134128:843
3Marko1894521:1331
4Olympiacos Piraeus B1883723:2627
5Athens Kallithea1875621:1726
6Ellas Syrou1866625:1824
7PAE Egaleo1845914:2217
8Ilioupoli18431114:2915
9PAE Chania (Kissamikos)18331211:2812
10Panargiakos1805138:385