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Iraklis FC vs Kavala Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026 Kaftanzoglio Stadium, Thessaloniki
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Match Events

4' Event
Manalis G.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 2025/2026 game between Iraklis FC and Kavala finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iraklis FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Iraklis FC
35%
Draws
35%
Kavala
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Iraklis FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Iraklis FC Clean Sheet 14%
Kavala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis FC Kavala
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Super League 2
Iraklis FC vs Kavala
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Super League 2
Kavala vs Iraklis FC
1:2
Dec 8, 2024 Super League 2
Kavala vs Iraklis FC
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Super League 2
Iraklis FC vs Kavala
1:1
Apr 27, 2022 Super League 2
Kavala vs Iraklis FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraklis FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Manalis G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58

Kavala Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis FC 35 / 100
Kavala 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis FC Kavala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kavala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis FC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Kavala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Iraklis FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iraklis FC VS Kavala
0.75 Goals Scored 1.57
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraklis FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
29 Aug
Volos
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
22 Aug
AEK
4 : 0
Iraklis FC
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Kavala

(Away)
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0
Kavala
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1
PAOK B
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)