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Iraklis FC vs Panetolikos

Greece Greece

Greek Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iraklis FC play Panetolikos in the Greek Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iraklis FC averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Panetolikos averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Iraklis FC won 1, Panetolikos won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 4, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.15 for Iraklis FC and 0.67 for Panetolikos. This points to a Iraklis FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Iraklis FC
31%
Draws
21%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Iraklis FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Iraklis FC picked up more points recently compared to Panetolikos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.15 vs 0.67 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Iraklis FC Clean Sheet 28%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis FC Panetolikos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.33 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Greek Cup
Iraklis FC vs Panetolikos
0:0
Apr 23, 2017 Super League
Iraklis FC vs Panetolikos
2:1
Dec 11, 2016 Super League
Panetolikos vs Iraklis FC
2:0
Apr 17, 2016 Super League
Iraklis FC vs Panetolikos
0:0
Dec 20, 2015 Super League
Panetolikos vs Iraklis FC
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis FC 49 / 100
Panetolikos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis FC Panetolikos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iraklis FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iraklis FC attacking → ← attacking Panetolikos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis FC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Panetolikos let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Iraklis FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Panetolikos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 29
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olympiacos Piraeus440018:312
2Levadiakos440010:312
3AEK44006:112
4Panathinaikos44006:212
5Aris43106:210
6OFI Crete43017:39
7Volos421110:77
8PAOK421110:77
9Atromitos42117:57
10Kifisia41214:45
11Asteras Tripolis41127:44
12Panetolikos41125:44
13Iraklis FC41122:94
14Athens Kallithea41033:53
15Ellas Syrou41038:133
16AEL Larissa40134:91
17Kavala40133:81
18Marko40134:101
19Ilioupoli40041:100
20PAE Egaleo40041:130