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Iraklis Thermaikou vs Kilkisiakos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iraklis Thermaikou host Kilkisiakos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Kilkisiakos have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Iraklis Thermaikou have conceded 0.76 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor Iraklis Thermaikou slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.31, favoring Iraklis Thermaikou. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Iraklis Thermaikou
30%
Draws
28%
Kilkisiakos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iraklis Thermaikou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Iraklis Thermaikou have won more games recently than Kilkisiakos.
  • Win probability leans Iraklis Thermaikou's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Iraklis Thermaikou Clean Sheet 18%
Kilkisiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis Thermaikou Kilkisiakos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs Kilkisiakos
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kilkisiakos vs Iraklis Thermaikou
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis Thermaikou 67 / 100
Kilkisiakos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis Thermaikou Kilkisiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraklis Thermaikou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis Thermaikou went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Iraklis Thermaikou scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Kilkisiakos has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Iraklis Thermaikou VS Kilkisiakos
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraklis Thermaikou

(Home)
11 Oct
PAOK Kristonis
0 : 0
Iraklis Thermaikou
03 Oct
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 0
Panedessaikos
27 Sept
Agiou Nikolaou
1 : 1
Iraklis Thermaikou
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Doxa Dramas
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
Page 1 of 6

Kilkisiakos

(Away)
11 Oct
Poseidonas Michanionas
2 : 1
Kilkisiakos
03 Oct
Kilkisiakos
0 : 2
Makedonikos Neapolis
27 Sept
Finikas Polichnis
3 : 2
Kilkisiakos
08 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 0
PAOK Kristonis
05 Apr
Krya Vrysi
1 : 2
Kilkisiakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Finikas Polichnis 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
3 Mpam 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
4 Iraklis Thermaikou 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
5 Agiou Nikolaou 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Akrites Sykeon 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
7 Makedonikos Neapolis 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
8 Panedessaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
9 PAOK Kristonis 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 AE Polykastro 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
11 Kilkisiakos 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Losers stage)