Sport Picks

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Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Alki Larnaca

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2006/2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iraklis Yerolakkou play Alki Larnaca in the Division 2 2006/2007. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iraklis Yerolakkou averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Alki Larnaca averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, Iraklis Yerolakkou won 0, Alki Larnaca won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2007 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Iraklis Yerolakkou and 1.06 for Alki Larnaca. This points to a Iraklis Yerolakkou double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Iraklis Yerolakkou
28%
Draws
23%
Alki Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Iraklis Yerolakkou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Iraklis Yerolakkou picked up more points recently compared to Alki Larnaca.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Iraklis Yerolakkou Clean Sheet 22%
Alki Larnaca Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis Yerolakkou Alki Larnaca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 13 4
Losses 9 24
Goals Scored 0.93 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2007 Division 2
Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Alki Larnaca
0:1
Sep 30, 2006 Division 2
Alki Larnaca vs Iraklis Yerolakkou
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis Yerolakkou 49 / 100
Alki Larnaca 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis Yerolakkou Alki Larnaca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iraklis Yerolakkou or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iraklis Yerolakkou attacking → ← attacking Alki Larnaca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis Yerolakkou scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Alki Larnaca let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Iraklis Yerolakkou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alki Larnaca lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 10
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kinyras Peyias26184465:2258
2Alki Larnaca26175446:1656
3Doxa26155636:2050
4Thoi Lakatamias261310354:3649
5ASIL Lysi26138548:2647
6Anagennisi Derynia26812630:2736
7Omonia Aradippou261051138:3135
8M.E.A.P. Nisou2698933:4035
9Onisilos Sotiras26961139:3133
10APEP26941338:4331
11Akritas Chloraka26861233:4130
12Halkanoras26681236:4726
13Iraklis Yerolakkou26341925:6213
14AE Mesogis26032325:1043