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Iran U19 vs Uzbekistan U19

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U19 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iran U19 play Uzbekistan U19 in the AFF Championship U19 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iran U19 averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Uzbekistan U19 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Iran U19 won 4, Uzbekistan U19 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 3, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.98 for Iran U19 and 0.66 for Uzbekistan U19. This points to a Iran U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Iran U19
22%
Draws
33%
Uzbekistan U19
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Iran U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Iran U19 picked up more points recently compared to Uzbekistan U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.98 vs 0.66 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Iran U19 Clean Sheet 28%
Uzbekistan U19 Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U19 Uzbekistan U19
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.33 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.43 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 AFC Championship U19
Uzbekistan U19 vs Iran U19
0:0
Aug 9, 2019 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U19 vs Iran U19
0:2
Oct 24, 2016 AFC Championship U19
Uzbekistan U19 vs Iran U19
0:2
Sep 8, 2012 ASEAN Championship U19
Iran U19 vs Uzbekistan U19
2:1
Sep 4, 2012 ASEAN Championship U19
Uzbekistan U19 vs Iran U19
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U19 46 / 100
Uzbekistan U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U19 Uzbekistan U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iran U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iran U19 attacking → ← attacking Uzbekistan U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U19 scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Uzbekistan U19 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Iran U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 54
1.57 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38