Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Championship U22 2013

Tajikistan U22

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iran U22 play Tajikistan U22 in the AFC Championship U22 2013. Iran U22 are favorites here. Recently, Iran U22 averaged 2.44 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Tajikistan U22 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Iran U22 won 1, Tajikistan U22 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 1, 2012 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.99 for Iran U22 and 1.14 for Tajikistan U22. This points to a Iran U22 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Iran U22

15%

Draws

25%

Tajikistan U22

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iran U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Iran U22 picked up more points recently compared to Tajikistan U22.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.99 vs 1.14 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Iran U22 Clean Sheet 21%

Tajikistan U22 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iran U22	Tajikistan U22
Matches Played	9	5
Wins	6	2
Draws	2	0
Losses	1	3
Goals Scored	2.44	1.4
Goals Conceded	0.89	1.6
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2012 AFC Asian Cup U23

Iran U22 vs Tajikistan U22

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U22 58 / 100

Tajikistan U22 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iran U22 Tajikistan U22

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iran U22 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Iran U22 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iran U22 attacking → ← attacking Tajikistan U22

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U22 scored in 89% of their last 9 games.

Tajikistan U22 let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Iran U22 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tajikistan U22 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 6

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.40

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.60

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U22	5	3	2	0	12:3	11
2	United Arab Emirates U22	5	3	2	0	8:4	11
3	Oman U22	5	3	1	1	11:6	10
4	India U22	5	2	1	2	11:10	7
5	Lebanon U22	5	1	0	4	12:18	3
6	Turkmenistan U22	5	0	0	5	3:16	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saudi Arabia U22	5	4	1	0	15:2	13
2	Syria U22	5	4	1	0	13:3	13
3	Kyrgyzstan U22	5	2	1	2	7:2	7
4	Palestine U22	5	1	2	2	3:7	5
5	Sri Lanka U22	5	0	2	3	1:17	2
6	Pakistan U22	5	0	1	4	0:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iran U22	5	4	1	0	13:2	13
2	Kuwait U22	5	4	0	1	12:1	12
3	Bahrain U22	5	2	1	2	5:5	7
4	Tajikistan U22	5	2	0	3	7:8	6
5	Qatar U22	5	2	0	3	6:8	6
6	Maldives U22	5	0	0	5	2:21	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan U22	4	4	0	0	13:1	12
2	Uzbekistan U22	4	2	1	1	8:7	7
3	Yemen U22	4	2	1	1	7:6	7
4	Nepal U22	4	1	0	3	6:9	3
5	Bangladesh U22	4	0	0	4	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U22	5	5	0	0	20:2	15
2	Australia U22	5	3	1	1	7:7	10
3	Indonesia U22	5	3	0	2	7:7	9
4	Singapore U22	5	2	1	2	6:6	7
5	Timor-Leste U22	5	1	0	4	5:9	3
6	Macau U22	5	0	0	5	4:18	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	North Korea U22	5	4	1	0	11:4	13
2	China U22	5	3	2	0	12:3	11
3	Laos U22	5	2	1	2	7:7	7
4	Thailand U22	5	2	1	2	11:6	7
5	Cambodia U22	5	1	1	3	6:15	4
6	Hong Kong U22	5	0	0	5	3:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U22	5	4	1	0	23:3	13
2	Myanmar U22	5	4	1	0	16:5	13
3	Malaysia U22	5	3	0	2	17:7	9
4	Chinese Taipei U22	5	2	0	3	9:20	6
5	Vietnam U22	5	1	0	4	11:10	3
6	Philippines U22	5	0	0	5	2:33	0