Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iran U23 vs China U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games Wave Stadium Kariya, Kariya
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
He Yiran
40'
Sub
Kahrizi A. In: Mazrae Y.
Out: Kahrizi A.
44'
Shahrabadi P.

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games game between Iran U23 and China U23 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Iran U23
20%
Draws
52%
China U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • China U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • China U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Asian Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Iran U23 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Iran U23 Clean Sheet 28%
China U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U23 China U23
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.59 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Asian Games
Iran U23 vs China U23
0:0
Jan 15, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
China U23 vs Iran U23
0:1
Jan 18, 2016 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iran U23 vs China U23
3:2
Dec 9, 2006 Asian Games
Iran U23 vs China U23
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U23 25 / 100
China U23 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U23 China U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U23 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Iran U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

China U23 has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iran U23 VS China U23
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
17% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U23

(Home)
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3
Iran U23
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U23
07 Jan
South Korea U23
0 : 0
Iran U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0
Bahrain U23
Page 1 of 6

China U23

(Away)
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
North Korea U23
10 Sept
China U23
2 : 0
Uzbekistan U23
09 Jun
China U23
3 : 0
Tajikistan U23
06 Jun
China U23
1 : 0
Tajikistan U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Thailand U23 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
3 Hong Kong U23 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 0 2 2:10 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 China U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 North Korea U23 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
4 United Arab Emirates U23 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Vietnam U23 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Kuwait U23 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Philippines U23 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Saudi Arabia U23 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Qatar U23 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)