Sport Picks
Match Events
70'
70'
Jafari A.
73'
73'
Razzaghinia A.
87'
87'
Taheri K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iran U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hong Kong U23 haven't matched Iran U23's recent run of results.
- Model gives Iran U23 a 50% chance of winning this.
- Iran U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Iran U23, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Iran U23 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Iran U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Hong Kong U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iran U23 | Hong Kong U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 2.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iran U23 vs Hong Kong U23
4:0
Oct 1, 2023 Asian Games
Iran U23 vs Hong Kong U23
0:1
Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iran U23 vs Hong Kong U23
3:0
Dec 3, 2006 Asian Games
Hong Kong U23 vs Iran U23
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iran U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Taheri K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jafari A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Hong Kong U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iran U23 95 / 100
Hong Kong U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iran U23 Hong Kong U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Iran U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Iran U23 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).
Hong Kong U23 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Solid form: Iran U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Iran U23 VS Hong Kong U23
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Iran U23
(Home) 23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4 North Korea U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0 China U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3 Iran U23
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 0 Uzbekistan U23
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4 North Korea U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0 China U23
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 0 Uzbekistan U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0 Bahrain U23
Page 1 of 4
Hong Kong U23
(Away) 23 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 0 Hong Kong U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5 Thailand U23
16 Sept
Japan U23
2 : 0 Hong Kong U23
09 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 0 Guam U23
06 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 2 United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 0 Hong Kong U23
16 Sept
Japan U23
2 : 0 Hong Kong U23
03 Sept
Iran U23
4 : 0 Hong Kong U23
04 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 3 Hong Kong U23
07 Oct
Uzbekistan U23
4 : 0 Hong Kong U23
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Turkmenistan U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Bhutan U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Chinese Taipei U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:14 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Kuwait U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Afghanistan U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Myanmar U23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Yemen U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bangladesh U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Singapore U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Australia U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:0 | 7 |
| 2 | China U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Timor-Leste U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Northern Mariana Islands U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:30 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyrgyzstan U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Palestine U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Sri Lanka U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:15 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Lebanon U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Malaysia U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Mongolia U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:16 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iraq U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Cambodia U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Pakistan U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Qatar U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 9 |
| 2 | India U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Bahrain U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Brunei U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:29 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Hong Kong U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Guam U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:20 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Korea U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Indonesia U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Laos U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Macau U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syria U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Philippines U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Tajikistan U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Nepal U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
