Sport Picks
Iran U23 vs Lebanon U23 Prediction & H2H Stats
Asia
AFC Asian Cup U23 Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh 
Match Events
11'
11'
Fouani H.
31'
31'
Sub
Zbib M. In: Istambouli D.
Out: Zbib M.
46'
46'
Sub
Latififar P. In: Sheikhirad A.
Out: Latififar P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lebanon U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Lebanon U23 haven't matched Iran U23's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Iran U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lebanon U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Iran U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iran U23 | Lebanon U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iran U23 vs Lebanon U23
0:1
Oct 28, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Lebanon U23 vs Iran U23
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iran U23 32 / 100
Lebanon U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iran U23 Lebanon U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lebanon U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lebanon U23 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Iran U23 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Iran U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Iran U23 VS Lebanon U23
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Iran U23
(Home) 23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4 North Korea U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0 China U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3 Iran U23
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 0 Uzbekistan U23
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4 North Korea U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0 China U23
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 0 Uzbekistan U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0 Bahrain U23
Page 1 of 4
Lebanon U23
(Away) 13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Lebanon U23
2 : 4 South Korea U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2 Lebanon U23
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0 Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Lebanon U23
2 : 2 Thailand U23
Page 1 of 6
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2 Lebanon U23
03 Sept
Malaysia U23
0 : 1 Lebanon U23
22 Mar
Kuwait U23
1 : 0 Lebanon U23
19 Mar
Syria U23
3 : 2 Lebanon U23
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Jordan U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Syria U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uzbekistan U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | South Korea U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Lebanon U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Iran U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Australia U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 2 | China U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 5 |
| 3 | Iraq U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Thailand U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
