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Iran U23 vs Uzbekistan U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iran U23 play Uzbekistan U23 in the AFC Asian Cup U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iran U23 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Uzbekistan U23 averaged 1.81 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Iran U23 won 0, Uzbekistan U23 won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jan 10, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Iran U23 and 1.19 for Uzbekistan U23. This points to a Uzbekistan U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Iran U23
32%
Draws
37%
Uzbekistan U23
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Uzbekistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Iran U23 picked up more points recently compared to Uzbekistan U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Iran U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U23 Uzbekistan U23
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iran U23 vs Uzbekistan U23
0:0
Sep 12, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs Iran U23
1:0
Jun 7, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs Iran U23
1:1
Jan 9, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
Uzbekistan U23 vs Iran U23
1:1
Sep 9, 2019 Friendly International
Uzbekistan U23 vs Iran U23
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U23 32 / 100
Uzbekistan U23 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U23 Uzbekistan U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uzbekistan U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iran U23 attacking → ← attacking Uzbekistan U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U23 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Uzbekistan U23 let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Iran U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 57
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vietnam U2333005:19
2Jordan U2332014:46
3Saudi Arabia U2331023:43
4Kyrgyzstan U2330031:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U23330010:09
2United Arab Emirates U2331113:44
3Syria U2331112:64
4Qatar U2330030:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uzbekistan U2332105:27
2South Korea U2331114:44
3Lebanon U2331025:73
4Iran U2330210:12
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Australia U2332014:36
2China U2331201:05
3Iraq U2330212:32
4Thailand U2330212:32