Sport Picks

Asia

Asian Cup Kingdom Arena, Riyadh

China

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. China have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Iran have conceded 0.83 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Iran slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2019, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.10) point toward Iran. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Iran

35%

Draws

31%

China

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Iran come out ahead of China on wins alone.
Win probability leans Iran's way, sitting at 40%.
Iran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Iran, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Iran Clean Sheet 20%

China Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iran	China
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	17	9
Draws	7	6
Losses	5	15
Goals Scored	1.93	0.9
Goals Conceded	0.83	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2019 Asian Cup

China vs Iran

0:3

Mar 28, 2017 World Championship

Iran vs China

1:0

Sep 6, 2016 World Championship

China vs Iran

0:0

Sep 3, 2010 Friendly International

China vs Iran

0:2

Jun 1, 2009 Friendly International

China vs Iran

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran 40 / 100

China 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iran China

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iran Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Iran stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Iran's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

China let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Iran VS China

1.25 Goals Scored 1.2

1 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 80%

50% Over 2.5 40%

13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran

(Home)

27 Jun

Egypt

1 : 1

Iran

21 Jun

Belgium

0 : 0

Iran

16 Jun

Iran

2 : 2

New Zealand

04 Jun

Iran

2 : 0

Mali

29 May

Iran

3 : 1

Gambia

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China

(Away)

09 Jun

China

0 : 0

Thailand

05 Jun

Singapore

1 : 2

China

31 Mar

China

0 : 2

Cameroon

27 Mar

China

2 : 0

Curacao

26 Jan

Uzbekistan

2 : 2

China

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