Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Irapuato vs Cancun Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Sergio León Chavez, Irapuato
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Trejo C.
Assist: El-mesmari B.
45'
Montiel S.
46'
Sub
Preciado G. In: Melendre F.
Out: Preciado G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Irapuato
20%
Draws
28%
Cancun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Irapuato haven't matched Cancun's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Irapuato a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 68%
Cancun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irapuato Cancun
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Cancun
2:2
Oct 11, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Irapuato
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Irapuato Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salazar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Cancun Compare

Top Goalscorer Trejo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melendre F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irapuato 59 / 100
Cancun 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irapuato Cancun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irapuato went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Irapuato's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cancun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Irapuato VS Cancun
2.6 Goals Scored 0.88
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Irapuato

(Home)
27 Sept
Irapuato
3 : 0
Lobos ULMX
22 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3
Irapuato
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
05 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 3
Irapuato
30 Aug
Irapuato
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 6

Cancun

(Away)
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1
Cancun
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1
Cancun
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2
Cancun
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tepatitlan de Morelos 14 7 5 2 21:10 26
2 Cancun 14 7 4 3 24:17 25
3 Club Atletico Morelia 14 7 2 5 18:12 23
4 Atletico La Paz 14 5 7 2 22:12 22
5 Jaiba Brava 14 6 3 5 15:15 21
6 Zacatecas Mineros 14 6 3 5 19:20 21
7 Tapatio 14 6 2 6 28:24 20
8 Atlante 14 5 5 4 21:17 20
9 Irapuato 14 6 2 6 27:24 20
10 Tlaxcala 14 5 5 4 16:17 20
11 Venados FC 14 4 4 6 25:25 16
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14 4 4 6 20:29 16
13 Dorados de Sinaloa 14 3 4 7 17:28 13
14 Correcaminos 14 3 3 8 14:27 12
15 Leones Negros 14 2 5 7 15:25 11
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)