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Irapuato vs Celaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Tue, Nov 17, 2026
VS
02:05 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Irapuato host Celaya in the Primera Premier. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Irapuato at 1.76 goals for, 1.24 against; Celaya at 1.94 for, 0.97 against. Head-to-head, Irapuato have won 2 to Celaya's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2015, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.25) back Celaya to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Irapuato
15%
Draws
27%
Celaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Irapuato haven't matched Celaya's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Irapuato taking it.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 19%
Celaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irapuato Celaya
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.76 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2015 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Celaya
1:0
Aug 24, 2014 Liga de Expansion MX
Celaya vs Irapuato
0:1
Feb 24, 2013 Liga de Expansion MX
Celaya vs Irapuato
0:0
Sep 16, 2012 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Celaya
0:1
Jan 22, 2012 Liga de Expansion MX
Celaya vs Irapuato
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irapuato 76 / 100
Celaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irapuato Celaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Irapuato remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Irapuato scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Celaya let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Irapuato VS Celaya
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Irapuato

(Home)
07 Nov
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 1
Irapuato
01 Nov
Irapuato
2 : 1
Deportiva Venados
24 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 4
Irapuato
18 Oct
Irapuato
2 : 0
Zacatepec
11 Oct
Irapuato
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

Celaya

(Away)
08 Nov
Celaya
1 : 1
Tigres de Alica
01 Nov
Los Cabos United
1 : 4
Celaya
25 Oct
Celaya
2 : 1
Cordobes FC
10 Oct
Racing de Veracruz
2 : 1
Celaya
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Cordobes FC 10 3 2 5 9:14 10
7 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
8 Purepechas 10 2 3 5 6:10 9
9 Tritones Vallarta 10 1 4 5 8:12 7
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 10 3 4 3 13:17 13
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)