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Irapuato vs Zacatepec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Irapuato host Zacatepec in the Primera Premier. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Zacatepec have shipped 0.87 goals a game lately, while Irapuato have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.71. Head-to-head, Irapuato have won 2 to Zacatepec's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 23, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.00) back Zacatepec to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Irapuato
15%
Draws
34%
Zacatepec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Zacatepec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Irapuato's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 20%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irapuato Zacatepec
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.71 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Irapuato vs Zacatepec
2:1
Oct 16, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Zacatepec vs Irapuato
3:1
Feb 28, 2015 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Zacatepec
1:0
Sep 13, 2014 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatepec vs Irapuato
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irapuato 76 / 100
Zacatepec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irapuato Zacatepec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irapuato has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Irapuato scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Zacatepec has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Irapuato VS Zacatepec
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Irapuato

(Home)
27 Sept
Irapuato
3 : 0
Lobos ULMX
22 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3
Irapuato
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
05 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 3
Irapuato
30 Aug
Irapuato
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 6

Zacatepec

(Away)
03 Oct
Zacatepec
2 : 3
Reboceros de La Piedad
26 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 1
Zacatepec
19 Sept
Zacatepec
1 : 0
Purepechas
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 5 5 0 0 13:4 16
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 6 5 0 1 12:7 14
3 Tigres de Alica 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
4 Zacatepec 6 3 1 2 8:7 11
5 Los Cabos United 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
6 Cordobes FC 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
7 Lobos ULMX 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
8 Tritones Vallarta 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
9 Purepechas 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 5 3 2 0 16:6 13
2 Pioneros 5 4 0 1 14:6 13
3 Celaya 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 5 2 1 2 5:5 8
5 Deportiva Venados 5 1 2 2 9:9 6
6 Montaneses 6 2 1 3 9:12 6
7 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
9 Tapachula 5 1 0 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)