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Iraq U17 vs Bahrain U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Iraq U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Iraq U17
20%
Draws
42%
Bahrain U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahrain U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahrain U17 come out ahead of Iraq U17 on wins alone.
  • Bahrain U17 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Bahrain U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Iraq U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Bahrain U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U17 Bahrain U17
Matches Played 19 17
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 1
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U17
Iraq U17 vs Bahrain U17
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U17 28 / 100
Bahrain U17 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U17 Bahrain U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahrain U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraq U17 scored in 68% of their last 19 games.

Bahrain U17 has conceded goals in 65% of their last 17 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Iraq U17 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U17 VS Bahrain U17
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U17

(Home)
30 Nov
Australia U17
3 : 3
Iraq U17
28 Nov
Iraq U17
1 : 0
Bhutan U17
26 Nov
Iraq U17
2 : 2
Jordan U17
22 Nov
Philippines U17
2 : 3
Iraq U17
27 Oct
Uzbekistan U17
1 : 0
Iraq U17
Page 1 of 4

Bahrain U17

(Away)
30 Nov
Bahrain U17
10 : 0
Brunei U17
28 Nov
Bangladesh U17
2 : 1
Bahrain U17
26 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
0 : 3
Bahrain U17
24 Nov
Bahrain U17
2 : 1
Sri Lanka U17
22 Nov
Bahrain U17
0 : 4
China U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 4 4 0 0 15:0 12
2 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Syria U17 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
4 Turkmenistan U17 4 1 1 2 3:11 4
5 Philippines U17 4 0 0 4 3:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U17 4 3 1 0 13:4 10
2 Indonesia U17 4 3 0 1 20:7 9
3 United Arab Emirates U17 4 2 0 2 17:9 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
5 Guam U17 4 0 1 3 1:28 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U17 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Oman U17 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Iraq U17 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
4 Bahrain U17 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
5 Lebanon U17 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U17 4 4 0 0 19:2 12
2 India U17 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Myanmar U17 4 1 0 3 8:11 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 0:27 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Bangladesh U17 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Singapore U17 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Bhutan U17 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U17 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Chinese Taipei U17 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Nepal U17 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 3 3 0 0 36:1 9
2 China U17 3 2 0 1 21:3 6
3 Cambodia U17 3 1 0 2 4:19 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U17 3 0 0 3 0:38 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U17 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Afghanistan U17 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Mongolia U17 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
4 Timor-Leste U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U17 3 3 0 0 18:1 9
2 Laos U17 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U17 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Hong Kong U17 3 0 0 3 2:18 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 2 2 0 0 17:2 6
2 South Korea U17 2 1 0 1 12:3 3
3 Brunei U17 2 0 0 2 0:24 0
4 Sri Lanka U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2023 (Main)