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Iraq U20 vs United Arab Emirates U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

WAFF Championship U20
Sat, Mar 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iraq U20 host United Arab Emirates U20 in the WAFF Championship U20. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Iraq U20 at 1.66 goals for, 0.72 against; United Arab Emirates U20 at 1.43 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Iraq U20 slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 3, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 0.13, favoring Iraq U20. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Iraq U20
20%
Draws
23%
United Arab Emirates U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iraq U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • United Arab Emirates U20 haven't matched Iraq U20's recent run of results.
  • Iraq U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Iraq U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Iraq U20 Clean Sheet 20%
United Arab Emirates U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U20 United Arab Emirates U20
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U20
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Iraq U20
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 WAFF Championship U20
Iraq U20 vs United Arab Emirates U20
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Iraq U20
0:2
Jan 7, 2026 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Iraq U20
0:1
Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Iraq U20
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U20 76 / 100
United Arab Emirates U20 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U20 United Arab Emirates U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraq U20 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

United Arab Emirates U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Iraq U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U20 VS United Arab Emirates U20
0.75 Goals Scored 0.13
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Iraq U20
3 : 1
Thailand U20
03 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
31 Aug
Iraq U20
1 : 2
Turkmenistan U20
25 Aug
Iran U20
0 : 0
Iraq U20
22 Aug
Indonesia U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
Page 1 of 7

United Arab Emirates U20

(Away)
06 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
3 : 2
Turkmenistan U20
03 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
31 Aug
Thailand U20
1 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
24 Aug
Kuwait U20
1 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
21 Aug
Indonesia U20
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Saudi Arabia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bahrain U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Oman U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - WAFF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Iraq U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Jordan U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Syria U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - WAFF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kuwait U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Lebanon U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palestine U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - WAFF Championship U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams