Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iraq U23 vs Bahrain U23

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ali Hassan K.
90' Event
Al Subaiei A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Iraq U23 and Bahrain U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Iraq U23
20%
Draws
0%
Bahrain U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iraq U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Bahrain U23 haven't matched Iraq U23's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Iraq U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Bahrain U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U23 Bahrain U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.35 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Friendly International
Iraq U23 vs Bahrain U23
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Friendly International
Iraq U23 vs Bahrain U23
1:0
Oct 31, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iraq U23 vs Bahrain U23
3:0
Jan 11, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
Bahrain U23 vs Iraq U23
2:2
Sep 9, 2019 Friendly International
Bahrain U23 vs Iraq U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Hassan K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Bahrain U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Subaiei A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U23 49 / 100
Bahrain U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U23 Bahrain U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahrain U23 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Bahrain U23 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Iraq U23's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U23 VS Bahrain U23
1.25 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U23

(Home)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
Thailand U23
1 : 1
Iraq U23
08 Jan
Iraq U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 7

Bahrain U23

(Away)
11 Dec
Bahrain U23
1 : 2
Kuwait U23
08 Dec
Bahrain U23
0 : 1
Qatar U23
05 Dec
Saudi Arabia U23
5 : 0
Bahrain U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0
Bahrain U23
15 Nov
Bahrain U23
0 : 2
Russia U21
Page 1 of 6