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Iraq U23 vs Pakistan U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
32' Event
Faisal A.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Jasim A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 8-1. The second leg ended 8-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Iraq U23
15%
Draws
85%
Pakistan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pakistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Pakistan U23 haven't matched Iraq U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Iraq U23 a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Iraq U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Pakistan U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U23 Pakistan U23
Matches Played 34 20
Wins 15 2
Draws 5 1
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.26 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iraq U23 vs Pakistan U23
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jasim A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader AL Aridhee A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pakistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullah M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U23 76 / 100
Pakistan U23 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U23 Pakistan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pakistan U23 has conceded goals in 95% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pakistan U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Iraq U23's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U23 VS Pakistan U23
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U23

(Home)
28 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
Page 1 of 7

Pakistan U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Oman U23
1 : 0
Pakistan U23
06 Sept
Pakistan U23
0 : 1
Cambodia U23
03 Sept
Iraq U23
8 : 1
Pakistan U23
12 Sept
Palestine U23
2 : 1
Pakistan U23
09 Sept
Pakistan U23
1 : 3
Bahrain U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Turkmenistan U23 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Bhutan U23 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Kuwait U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Myanmar U23 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Singapore U23 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 20:0 7
2 China U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U23 3 0 0 3 0:30 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Palestine U23 3 1 0 2 7:4 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Lebanon U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Malaysia U23 3 1 0 2 8:3 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Oman U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 3 0 0 17:2 9
2 India U23 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:29 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 17:3 6
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Guam U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 5:1 4
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U23 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Philippines U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 0 2 4:2 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams