Sport Picks

Iraq vs Australia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia

Asian Cup King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh

Australia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Australia have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Iraq have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Australia slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2017, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.69) back Australia to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Iraq

30%

Draws

23%

Australia

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iraq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Australia come out ahead of Iraq on wins alone.
Australia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Australia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Australia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Australia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Iraq Clean Sheet 13%

Australia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iraq	Australia
Matches Played	34	33
Wins	16	18
Draws	6	7
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.21	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.24	0.82
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2017 World Championship

Iraq vs Australia

1:1

Sep 1, 2016 World Championship

Australia vs Iraq

2:0

Jun 18, 2013 World Championship

Australia vs Iraq

1:0

Oct 16, 2012 World Championship

Iraq vs Australia

1:2

Jan 22, 2011 Asian Cup

Australia vs Iraq

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq 11 / 100

Australia 76 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iraq Australia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iraq scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Australia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Australia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Iraq VS Australia

0.75 Goals Scored 1.25

2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq

(Home)

29 Sept

Saudi Arabia

2 : 0

Iraq

26 Sept

Kuwait

2 : 3

Iraq

23 Sept

Iraq

1 : 1

Oman

26 Jun

Senegal

5 : 0

Iraq

22 Jun

France

3 : 0

Iraq

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Australia

(Away)

29 Sept

Australia

2 : 4

Brazil

25 Sept

Australia

1 : 1

Brazil

03 Jul

Australia

1 : 2

Egypt

26 Jun

Paraguay

0 : 0

Australia

19 Jun

USA

2 : 0

Australia

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