Sport Picks

Asia

Asian Cup King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh

Australia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Australia have shipped 0.71 goals a game lately, while Iraq have conceded 1.12 and scored 1.15. Past meetings favor Australia slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2017, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.06) back Australia to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%

Iraq

30%

Draws

58%

Australia

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Australia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Australia come out ahead of Iraq on wins alone.
Australia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Australia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Australia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Australia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Iraq Clean Sheet 20%

Australia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iraq	Australia
Matches Played	33	34
Wins	16	20
Draws	6	6
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1.15	1.94
Goals Conceded	1.12	0.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2017 World Championship

Iraq vs Australia

1:1

Sep 1, 2016 World Championship

Australia vs Iraq

2:0

Jun 18, 2013 World Championship

Australia vs Iraq

1:0

Oct 16, 2012 World Championship

Iraq vs Australia

1:2

Jan 22, 2011 Asian Cup

Australia vs Iraq

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq 10 / 100

Australia 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iraq Australia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iraq scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Australia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Iraq stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraq VS Australia

1 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq

(Home)

26 Jun

Senegal

5 : 0

Iraq

22 Jun

France

3 : 0

Iraq

16 Jun

Iraq

1 : 4

Norway

10 Jun

Iraq

0 : 2

Venezuela

04 Jun

Spain

1 : 1

Iraq

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Australia

(Away)

03 Jul

Australia

1 : 2

Egypt

26 Jun

Paraguay

0 : 0

Australia

19 Jun

USA

2 : 0

Australia

14 Jun

Australia

2 : 0

Turkey

06 Jun

Switzerland

1 : 1

Australia

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