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Stadium Background

Iraq vs Bolivia

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Al Hamadi A.
Assist: Al Ammari A.
19'
Bayesh I.
38' Event
Paniagua M.
Assist: Vaca R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Iraq advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Iraq
15%
Draws
73%
Bolivia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bolivia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iraq come out ahead of Bolivia on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Bolivia taking it.
  • Iraq have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Iraq Clean Sheet 25%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq Bolivia
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.87 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 World Championship
Iraq vs Bolivia
2:1
Nov 20, 2018 Friendly International
Iraq vs Bolivia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hamadi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hussein A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bolivia Compare

Top Goalscorer Paniagua M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq 25 / 100
Bolivia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq Bolivia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolivia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraq found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Bolivia let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Bolivia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraq VS Bolivia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq

(Home)
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
22 Jun
France
3 : 0
Iraq
16 Jun
Iraq
1 : 4
Norway
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
04 Jun
Spain
1 : 1
Iraq
Page 1 of 7

Bolivia

(Away)
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
01 Apr
Iraq
2 : 1
Bolivia
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
15 Mar
Bolivia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
D.R. Congo -
TBD -
New Caledonia 0
Jamaica 1
Iraq -
TBD -
Bolivia 2
Suriname 1
Final
D.R. Congo 1
Jamaica 0
Iraq 2
Bolivia 1