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Iraty vs Araucaria

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2025
Iraty Logo

Iraty

0 - 5
FT
Araucaria Logo

Araucaria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iraty play Araucaria in the Paranaense 3 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iraty averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Araucaria averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Iraty won 1, Araucaria won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 24, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Iraty and 1.11 for Araucaria. This points to a Iraty double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Iraty
25%
Draws
37%
Araucaria
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Iraty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Iraty picked up more points recently compared to Araucaria.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Iraty Clean Sheet 21%
Araucaria Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraty Araucaria
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Paranaense 3
Iraty vs Araucaria
0:5
Sep 2, 2025 Paranaense 3
Araucaria vs Iraty
3:2
Oct 13, 2024 Paranaense 3
Iraty vs Araucaria
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Paranaense 3
Araucaria vs Iraty
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraty 38 / 100
Araucaria 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraty Araucaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iraty or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iraty attacking → ← attacking Araucaria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraty scored in 55% of their last 20 games.

Araucaria let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Iraty went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Araucaria lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 38
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Prudentopolis844014:616
2Rolandia EC843112:915
3Araucaria842220:1114
4Iraty821510:197
5Hope Internacional80265:162
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CA Cambe63218:411
2City London62316:79
3Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense60245:122
4Gremio Maringa623111:7-4
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao PR63125:510
2Vere FC62228:58
3Oeste Brasil62228:98
4Campo Mourao61326:86