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Ireland U21 vs Scotland U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wales B.
24'
Anderson M.
46'
Sub
Kelly D. In: Bragg C.
Out: Kelly D.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Ireland U21 and Scotland U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scotland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ireland U21
35%
Draws
37%
Scotland U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Scotland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ireland U21 come out ahead of Scotland U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Scotland U21 a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Scotland U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland U21 Scotland U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2025 Friendly International
Ireland U21 vs Scotland U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Scotland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wales B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonnar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland U21 10 / 100
Scotland U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland U21 Scotland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ireland U21 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Scotland U21 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Ireland U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ireland U21 VS Scotland U21
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Ireland U21
0 : 0
Qatar U23
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
31 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
0 : 1
Ireland U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
18 Nov
Andorra U21
4 : 0
Ireland U21
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Scotland U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
15 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 2
Scotland U21
14 Oct
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 3
Scotland U21
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