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Ireland U21 vs Sweden U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Marbella Football Center, Málaga
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mullins J.
35' Event
Amoran P.
46'
Sub
Dahbo P. In: Agbonifo J.
Out: Dahbo P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Ireland U21 and Sweden U21 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ireland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ireland U21
35%
Draws
35%
Sweden U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U21's 1.97 goals per match outpaces what Ireland U21 have produced (1.69).
  • Model gives Ireland U21 a 30% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ireland U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland U21 Sweden U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.69 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Friendly International
Ireland U21 vs Sweden U21
3:2
Nov 14, 2024 Friendly International
Sweden U21 vs Ireland U21
2:0
Mar 29, 2022 Euro U21
Sweden U21 vs Ireland U21
0:2
Nov 16, 2021 Euro U21
Ireland U21 vs Sweden U21
1:0
Nov 19, 2019 Euro U21
Ireland U21 vs Sweden U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mullins J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vata R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sweden U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Amoran P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjorklund L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland U21 67 / 100
Sweden U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland U21 Sweden U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ireland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland U21's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sweden U21 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ireland U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ireland U21 VS Sweden U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Ireland U21
0 : 0
Qatar U23
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
31 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
0 : 1
Ireland U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
18 Nov
Andorra U21
4 : 0
Ireland U21
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Sweden U21

(Away)
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
13 Nov
North Macedonia U21
1 : 4
Sweden U21
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