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Ireland vs Austria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Ireland Logo

Ireland

2 - 2
FT
Austria Logo

Austria

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Parrott T.
Assist: Idah A.
45' Event
Parrott T.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Affengruber D. In: Wober M.
Out: Affengruber D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Ireland and Austria finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ireland
35%
Draws
37%
Austria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Austria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Ireland haven't matched Austria's recent run of results.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Ireland taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ireland Clean Sheet 68%
Austria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland Austria
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.17 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Ireland vs Austria
2:2
Jun 11, 2017 World Championship
Ireland vs Austria
1:1
Nov 12, 2016 World Championship
Austria vs Ireland
0:1
Sep 10, 2013 World Championship
Austria vs Ireland
1:0
Mar 26, 2013 World Championship
Ireland vs Austria
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Parrott T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Prass A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gregoritsch M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland 50 / 100
Austria 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland Austria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ireland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Austria has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Ireland remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ireland VS Austria
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland

(Home)
04 Oct
Ireland
1 : 1
Israel
01 Oct
Ireland
2 : 2
Austria
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3
Ireland
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
05 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Ireland
Page 1 of 6

Austria

(Away)
04 Oct
Kosovo
1 : 1
Austria
01 Oct
Ireland
2 : 2
Austria
27 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Kosovo
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Israel
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)