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World Championship 2026 Aviva Stadium

Hungary

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ireland play Hungary in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ireland averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Hungary averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Ireland won 2, Hungary won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 16, 2025 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Ireland and 1.38 for Hungary. This points to a Ireland double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Ireland

35%

Draws

32%

Hungary

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ireland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Ireland picked up more points recently compared to Hungary.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Ireland Clean Sheet 17%

Hungary Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ireland	Hungary
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	12
Draws	7	8
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.13	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 World Championship

Hungary vs Ireland

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Sep 6, 2025 World Championship

Ireland vs Hungary

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International

Ireland vs Hungary

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Jun 8, 2021 Friendly International

Hungary vs Ireland

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Jun 4, 2012 Friendly International

Hungary vs Ireland

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 4 - 4

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferguson E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Idah A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Varga B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sallai R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland 33 / 100

Hungary 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ireland Hungary

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ireland or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ireland attacking → ← attacking Hungary

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Hungary let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ireland went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hungary lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 44

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0