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Ireland vs Israel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League TSC Arena, Bačka Topola
Ireland Logo

Ireland

1 - 1
FT
Israel Logo

Israel

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Nachmias I.
38'
Peretz D.
39' Event
Parrott T.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ireland
35%
Draws
30%
Israel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ireland have won more games recently than Israel.
  • Ireland are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ireland Clean Sheet 68%
Israel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland Israel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Ireland vs Israel
1:1
Sep 27, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Israel vs Ireland
0:3
Jun 4, 2005 World Championship
Ireland vs Israel
2:2
Mar 26, 2005 World Championship
Israel vs Ireland
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Israel Compare

Top Goalscorer Peretz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland 95 / 100
Israel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland Israel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ireland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Israel let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Ireland remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ireland VS Israel
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland

(Home)
04 Oct
Ireland
1 : 1
Israel
01 Oct
Ireland
2 : 2
Austria
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3
Ireland
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
05 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Ireland
Page 1 of 6

Israel

(Away)
04 Oct
Ireland
1 : 1
Israel
01 Oct
Israel
0 : 0
Kosovo
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3
Ireland
24 Sept
Austria
3 : 1
Israel
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Israel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)