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Ireland vs Portugal Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Championship 2026 Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Parrott T.
Assist: Scales L.
19'
Cancelo J.
38'
Azaz F.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Ireland and Portugal finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ireland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ireland
20%
Draws
40%
Portugal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Portugal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ireland Clean Sheet 68%
Portugal Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland Portugal
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.14 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 World Championship
Ireland vs Portugal
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 World Championship
Portugal vs Ireland
1:0
Jun 11, 2024 Friendly International
Portugal vs Ireland
3:0
Nov 11, 2021 World Championship
Ireland vs Portugal
0:0
Sep 1, 2021 World Championship
Portugal vs Ireland
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Parrott T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Portugal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland 41 / 100
Portugal 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland Portugal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ireland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Portugal has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Ireland went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ireland VS Portugal
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland

(Home)
27 Sept
Israel
0 : 3
Ireland
24 Sept
Kosovo
1 : 0
Ireland
05 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Ireland
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0
Qatar
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
Page 1 of 6

Portugal

(Away)
27 Sept
Norway
1 : 2
Portugal
24 Sept
Portugal
1 : 0
Wales
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0
Portugal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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