Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ireland vs Qatar

World World

Friendly International Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Collins N.
Assist: Moylan J.
45'
Moylan J.
46'
Sub
O'Shea D. In: Abankwah J.
Out: O'Shea D.

AI Match Summary

Ireland in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ireland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ireland
35%
Draws
13%
Qatar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ireland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ireland have won more games recently than Qatar.
  • Win probability leans Ireland's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ireland here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ireland Clean Sheet 68%
Qatar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland Qatar
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Friendly International
Ireland vs Qatar
1:0
Oct 12, 2021 Friendly International
Ireland vs Qatar
4:0
Mar 30, 2021 Friendly International
Qatar vs Ireland
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Collins N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Qatar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland 95 / 100
Qatar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland Qatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ireland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Qatar conceded in 85% of 26 recent games.

Ireland scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Ireland went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ireland VS Qatar
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland

(Home)
05 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Ireland
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0
Qatar
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
31 Mar
Ireland
0 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2
Ireland
Page 1 of 6

Qatar

(Away)
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
13 Jun
Qatar
1 : 1
Switzerland
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0
El Salvador
28 May
Ireland
1 : 0
Qatar
Page 1 of 6