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Ironbound SC vs Long Island

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ironbound SC
30%
Draws
39%
Long Island
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Long Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Long Island have won more games recently than Ironbound SC.
  • Model gives Long Island a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Long Island have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ironbound SC Clean Sheet 10%
Long Island Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironbound SC Long Island
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 19
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.55 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 USL League Two
Ironbound SC vs Long Island
2:2
May 18, 2025 USL League Two
Long Island vs Ironbound SC
2:0
Jun 1, 2024 USL League Two
Ironbound SC vs Long Island
0:8
Jun 21, 2023 USL League Two
Ironbound SC vs Long Island
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironbound SC 10 / 100
Long Island 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironbound SC Long Island

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Long Island Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ironbound SC scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Long Island conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Ironbound SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ironbound SC VS Long Island
2.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironbound SC

(Home)
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
15 Jul
NEFC
0 : 3
Ironbound SC
11 Jul
Ironbound SC
1 : 1
Manhattan
08 Jul
Cedar Stars Rush
2 : 2
Ironbound SC
05 Jul
Ironbound SC
3 : 0
Staten Island ASC
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Long Island

(Away)
11 Jul
Motown 2
4 : 2
Long Island
02 Jul
Cedar Stars Rush
1 : 1
Long Island
27 Jun
Staten Island ASC
0 : 6
Long Island
26 Jun
Long Island
4 : 1
Cedar Stars Rush
21 Jun
Long Island
4 : 0
Westchester Flames
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