Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Adawi A.
41' Event
Milad S.
45' Event
Tshuva A.

AI Match Summary

Ironi Baka in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ironi Baka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ironi Baka
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ironi Baka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek at 0.25 per game, Ironi Baka at 0.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ironi Baka taking it.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ironi Baka Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Baka Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 8 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2:1
Sep 5, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:0
Jan 3, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka
2:2
Mar 15, 2024 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Baka Compare

Top Goalscorer Adawi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tshuva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Compare

Top Goalscorer Milad S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Baka 42 / 100
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Baka Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ironi Baka scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek conceded in 55% of 20 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ironi Baka stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Baka VS Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Baka

(Home)
27 Feb
Ironi Nesher
0 : 0
Ironi Baka
20 Feb
Ironi Baka
0 : 3
M. Nazareth
13 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 0
Ironi Baka
06 Feb
Ironi Baka
4 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
30 Jan
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
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Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

(Away)
27 Feb
FC Tzeirey Tamra
0 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
19 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 0
Ironi Nesher
13 Feb
M. Nazareth
4 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
06 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
31 Jan
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
0 : 0
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)