Sport Picks
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Liga Alef North 
Match Events
59'
59'
Bonder O.
65'
65'
Darwish W.
67'
67'
Ashkenazi M.
AI Match Summary
Ironi Baka in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ironi Baka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Ironi Baka have won more games recently than Hapoel Tirat Karmel.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Ironi Baka taking it.
- Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ironi Baka here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ironi Baka Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ironi Baka | Hapoel Tirat Karmel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 20 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
3:1
Apr 10, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Ironi Baka
0:0
Jan 2, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ironi Baka Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonder O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Darwish W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Compare
Top Goalscorer Ashkenazi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ironi Baka 42 / 100
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ironi Baka Hapoel Tirat Karmel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hapoel Tirat Karmel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 20 matches.
Ironi Baka found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (20 games).
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Hapoel Tirat Karmel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ironi Baka VS Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ironi Baka
(Home) 08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2 Nof Hagalil
30 Sept
Beit Shean
2 : 1 Ironi Baka
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3 Ironi Baka
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2 Ironi Nesher
Page 1 of 4
08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2 Nof Hagalil
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2 Ironi Nesher
20 Feb
Ironi Baka
0 : 3 M. Nazareth
06 Feb
Ironi Baka
4 : 1 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Page 1 of 2
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
(Away) 08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 4 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Page 1 of 4
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 4 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Tira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Beitar Nahariya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Karmiel | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Ironi Nesher | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Nof Hagalil | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 10 | Ironi Baka | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 13 | H. Ihud Bnei Jatt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Beit Shean | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:14 | 2 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)
