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Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Fri, Apr 3, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ironi Baka host Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in the Liga Alef North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have shipped 0.25 goals a game lately, while Ironi Baka have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Hapoel Umm al-Fahm slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ironi Baka
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ironi Baka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm haven't matched Ironi Baka's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ironi Baka's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ironi Baka Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Baka Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0 0
Goals Conceded 0 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka
2:2
Apr 12, 2019 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka
3:0
Dec 17, 2018 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1:1
Mar 5, 2018 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Baka 42 / 100
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Baka Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ironi Baka scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has conceded goals in 75% of their last 20 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Ironi Baka remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Baka VS Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Baka

(Home)
27 Feb
Ironi Nesher
0 : 0
Ironi Baka
20 Feb
Ironi Baka
0 : 3
M. Nazareth
13 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 0
Ironi Baka
06 Feb
Ironi Baka
4 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
30 Jan
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Away)
26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
05 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
30 Jan
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2 : 4
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)