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Ironi Baka vs Nof Hagalil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
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Match Events

11' Event
Zbedat F.
53'
Othman B.
58' Event
Bitan L.

AI Match Summary

Nof Hagalil in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nof Hagalil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ironi Baka
20%
Draws
57%
Nof Hagalil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nof Hagalil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nof Hagalil lately — more wins on the board than Ironi Baka.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ironi Baka Clean Sheet 19%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Baka Nof Hagalil
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Nof Hagalil
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Baka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Nof Hagalil Compare

Top Goalscorer Zbedat F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bitan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Baka 32 / 100
Nof Hagalil 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Baka Nof Hagalil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nof Hagalil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironi Baka's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Nof Hagalil has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ironi Baka stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Baka VS Nof Hagalil
1.14 Goals Scored 1.13
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Baka

(Home)
08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2
Nof Hagalil
30 Sept
Beit Shean
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3
Ironi Baka
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
Page 1 of 5

Nof Hagalil

(Away)
08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2
Nof Hagalil
30 Sept
Nof Hagalil
2 : 3
FC Tzeirey Tamra
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3
Nof Hagalil
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2
Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)