Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ironi Beit Shemesh vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ironi Beit Shemesh host Hapoel Mahane Yehuda in the Liga Alef South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Ironi Beit Shemesh have averaged 1.25 scored and 3.13 conceded recently, against Hapoel Mahane Yehuda's 0.93 scored and 1.93 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.38 - 1.94) back Ironi Beit Shemesh to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ironi Beit Shemesh
30%
Draws
16%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ironi Beit Shemesh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ironi Beit Shemesh haven't matched Hapoel Mahane Yehuda's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ironi Beit Shemesh a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ironi Beit Shemesh Clean Sheet 10%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Beit Shemesh Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 2 4
Draws 1 8
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.93
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Beit Shemesh 40 / 100
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Beit Shemesh Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironi Beit Shemesh found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (8 games).

Defensive concern: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Ironi Beit Shemesh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Beit Shemesh VS Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Beit Shemesh

(Home)
09 Oct
Ironi Beit Shemesh
3 : 1
Tzeirei Tira
01 Oct
Maccabi Yavne
5 : 1
Ironi Beit Shemesh
23 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 2
Ironi Beit Shemesh
09 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 4
Kfar Saba 1928
Page 1 of 2

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

(Away)
08 Oct
H. Herzliya
0 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
30 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
2 : 3
FC Dimona
23 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
17 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
09 Sept
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 1
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)