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Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Afula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ironi Modiin host Hapoel Afula in the Leumit League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Hapoel Afula have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Ironi Modiin have conceded 1.24 and scored 0.97. Head-to-head, Ironi Modiin have won 1 to Hapoel Afula's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.94, favoring Hapoel Afula. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ironi Modiin
30%
Draws
39%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula have won more games recently than Ironi Modiin.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 10%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Modiin Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modiin
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modiin
0:0
Nov 10, 2025 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Afula
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Modiin 30 / 100
Hapoel Afula 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Modiin Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Afula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hapoel Afula conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Ironi Modiin's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Ironi Modiin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Modiin VS Hapoel Afula
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Modiin

(Home)
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
Ironi Modiin
1 : 3
SC Ashdod
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
10 Sept
Ironi Modiin
2 : 4
Yehuda
07 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 0
Ironi Modiin
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Afula

(Away)
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
2 Yehuda 8 6 2 0 19:7 20
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Kiryat Yam 8 5 0 3 23:13 15
5 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
6 Hapoel Afula 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
10 Kiryat Gat 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
11 Ironi Modiin 8 2 2 4 12:15 8
12 M. Herzliya 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
13 M. Nazareth 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 8 0 0 8 0:23 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)