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Ironi Modiin vs Maccabi Jaffa

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ironi Modiin play Maccabi Jaffa in the Leumit League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ironi Modiin averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Maccabi Jaffa averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Ironi Modiin won 1, Maccabi Jaffa won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Ironi Modiin and 1.25 for Maccabi Jaffa. This points to a Maccabi Jaffa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ironi Modiin
27%
Draws
43%
Maccabi Jaffa
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Maccabi Jaffa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Ironi Modiin picked up more points recently compared to Maccabi Jaffa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 19%
Maccabi Jaffa Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Modiin Maccabi Jaffa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs Maccabi Jaffa
4:1
Jan 30, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Ironi Modiin
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs Maccabi Jaffa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Modiin Compare

Top Goalscorer Israeli S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Genis S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Maccabi Jaffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Itzhak G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Modiin 31 / 100
Maccabi Jaffa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Modiin Maccabi Jaffa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maccabi Jaffa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ironi Modiin attacking → ← attacking Maccabi Jaffa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ironi Modiin scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Maccabi Jaffa let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Ironi Modiin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maccabi Jaffa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 48
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38